《金融風(fēng)險管理》PPT課件.ppt

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1、金融風(fēng)險管理,區(qū)國強,FRMExamination介紹,Global Association of RiskProfessionals為1996年成立的國際非營利組織 在1997年開始每年秋季舉辦一次Financial Risk Manager (FRM)認證考試,迄今已成為國際財金界最權(quán)威的認證考試之一,FRM歷年及格人數(shù),有關(guān)FRM認證的詳細介紹,網(wǎng)址: 書籍:The Financial Risk Manager Handbook, 3rd edition, by Philippe Jorion (New York: Wiley, 2005),課程(考試)大綱,數(shù)量分析 10% 市

2、場風(fēng)險衡量及管理 25% 信用風(fēng)險衡量及管理 30% 操作及整合風(fēng)險管理 25% 風(fēng)險及投資管理 10%,數(shù)量分析Quantitative Analysis,Estimating parameters of distributions Extreme value theory; basic principles Hypothesis testing Linear regression and correlation Mean, standard deviation, correlation, skewness, and kurtosis Monte Carlo analysis Probab

3、ility distributions Statistical properties and forecasting of correlation, covariance, and volatility,市場風(fēng)險衡量及管理Market Risk Measurement and Management,Derivatives on fixed-income securities, interest rates, foreign exchange, equities, and commodities Emerging market risks including currency crises Id

4、entifying and measuring risk exposures Interest rate, foreign exchange, equity, and commodity risks Interest rates and bond pricing,,Liquidity risk Measuring and managing corporate exposures, including cash flow at risk Risk budgeting Stress testing Valuation and risk analysis of futures, forwards,

5、swaps, and options,,Value-at-Risk: 1. Definition, delta-normal, historical simulation, Monte Carlo 2. Implementation 3. Limitations and alternative risk measures, e.g., conditional Value-at-Risk,信用風(fēng)險衡量及管理Credit Risk Measurement and Management,Actuarial approach and CreditRisk+ Contingent claim ap

6、proach and the KMV Model Counterparty risks: 1. exposures 2. recovery rates 3. risk mitigation techniques including rating triggers, collateral, and seniority clauses Credit derivatives,,Credit migration, transition matrices, and CreditMetrics. Credit ratings Credit spreads Default probabilities Int

7、erest rates and yields Margining Netting Portfolio credit risk Settlement risk Special purpose vehicles,操作及整合風(fēng)險管理Operational and Integrated Risk Management,Aggregated distributions Allocation of risk capital across the firm Analyzing special purpose vehicles and securitizations Bankruptcy Correlatio

8、ns across market, credit, and operational risk Definition of risk capital,,Differences between market and operational VaRs Evaluating the performance of risk management systems Hedging operational risk using financial engineering Implementation risks of risk management Internal models approach for m

9、arket risk (Market Risk Amendment 1996) Insuring operational risk,,Legal risk Measuring firm-wide risk Severity and frequency distributions for operational risk Types of operational risk Workflow in financial institutions,風(fēng)險及投資管理Risk Management and Investment Management,Traditional investment risk m

10、anagement 1. Return metrics (Sharpe ratio, information ratio, VaR, relative VaR, tracking error, survivorship bias) 2. Implementing VaR 3. Benchmarking asset mixes 4. Risk decomposition and performance attribution 5. Risk budgeting 6. Tracking error 7. Setting risk limits 8. Risk of alpha transfer s

11、trategies 9. Risk management issues of pension funds,,Hedge fund risk management 1.Risk-return metrics specific to hedge funds (drawdown, Sortino ratio) 2. Risks of specific strategies (fixed-income arbitrage, merger arbitrage, convert arbitrage, equity long/short-market neutral, macro, distressed d

12、ebt, emerging markets) 3. Asset illiquidity, valuation, and risk measurement 4. The use of leverage and derivatives and the risks they create 5. Problems in measuring exposures to risk factors (dynamic strategies, leverage, derivatives, style drift) 6. Correlations among hedge funds and between hedg

13、e funds and other assets,教科書與參考數(shù)據(jù)書目,金融風(fēng)險管理手冊(第五版) 講義,課程進度,本課程乃整合同學(xué)們已學(xué)的統(tǒng)計學(xué)、財務(wù)管理、金融市場及衍生性金融商品等課程,為財金系學(xué)生的基本專業(yè)知識 以同學(xué)們能否吸收理解作為課程進度快慢及內(nèi)容多寡的唯一標準,課程單元,各課程單元皆包括: 1.該單元的預(yù)期學(xué)習(xí)目標(Learning outcome statement, LOS) 2.課程內(nèi)容 3.課程練習(xí)題(含答案);及 4.課后測驗題(不含答案),評量方式,期中考(40%)、、期未考(60%) 各為25題四選一的選擇題 使用中文翻譯的FRM歷年考題 及格標準:加權(quán)五十分(期中考X 40% +期未考X 60%50 ),

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